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Arsenal lost 1-2 to Manchester City, yet OPTA still favors Arsenal for the title with over 70% probability.

In the Premier League Round 33's crucial title-deciding match, Arsenal suffered a 1-2 defeat away to Manchester City. Post-match, the two teams are separated by only 3 points, and City has one fewer game played. Yet, OPTA remains optimistic about Arsenal securing the Premier League title this season, with a win probability over seventy percent.

OPTA predicts this season's Premier League champion: Arsenal at 73%, Manchester City at merely 27%. Prior to this fixture, Arsenal's title probability stood at 85.2%, while Manchester City was at 14.8%.

OPTA's reasoning is based on assessing the difficulty of Arsenal and Manchester City's remaining Premier League fixtures this season. OPTA considers City's remaining opponents to be stronger than Arsenal's.

  1. Arsenal's remaining Premier League schedule this season (5 matches): home against Newcastle, home against Fulham, away to West Ham United, home against Burnley, away to Crystal Palace.
  2. Manchester City's remaining Premier League schedule this season (6 matches): home against Crystal Palace, away to Burnley, away to Everton, home against Brentford, away to Bournemouth, home against Aston Villa.

Personal view: whether for Arsenal or Manchester City, the remaining fixtures are challenging, especially Arsenal's away match against West Ham United, where the Hammers' desperate fight for survival in a relegation battle will surely be intense.

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